| Post date: Thu, Apr 18, 2019 | | Category: Debt | |
Introduction
The ability of a country to fulfill its debt obligations can be measured using a variety of ratios. Among the ratios used to measure this phenomenon is the public debt to GDP ratio. The rise in total public debt as a percentage of GDP is alarming as more resources are channeled towards servicing debts overtime rather than financing government development initiatives which would improve the welfare of the society.
Trend in the share of Kenya’s Total Public Debt Stock to GDP (1999 – 2018)

Source: Central Bank of Kenya, World Bank and National treasury
As illustrated in the chart above, the period between 1999 and 2000 witnessed an increase in the proportion of public debt as a share of GDP, however there was a slight decline in the proportion of public debt as a share of GDP between 2000 and 2002 and a substantial decline between 2003 and 2007. The decline in the proportion of public debt as a share of GDP between 2003 and 2007 was attributed to the fact that GDP was growing at a faster rate than government borrowing. However, public debt as a proportion of GDP began to rise between 2011 and 2017 and this was mainly attributed to the fact that government borrowing to finance various infrastructure projects such as the Standard Gauge Railway, was growing at a faster rate than GDP. It’s important to highlight that over the years analyzed, 2003 was the year that had the highest proportion of public debt to GDP amounting to 65%.

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In the advent of increased Non-Communicable Diseases such as cancer that require long time treatment, reduction of the Out-of-pocket payments is key in sustaining affordability and access to health care services. These can be achieved through increased insurance both by the government and the private sector.
Treasury bonds are a secure, medium- to long-term investment tools that typically offer periodic interest payments semiannually throughout the bond’s life. The Central Bank auctions Treasury bonds on a monthly basis, but offers a variety of bonds throughout the year, so prospective investors should regularly check for upcoming auctions. Outstanding Treasury Bonds increased by 11.2 per cent to Ksh 1,152,041 million in June 2016 from Ksh 1,035,662 million in June 2015.
In June 2016 compared to June 2015, the stock of Treasury bills increased by 84.4 per cent to Ksh 588,088 million from Ksh 318,929 million while the proportion held by commercial banks increased by 67.4 per cent to Ksh 361,859 million from Ksh 217,742 million. In the same period, holdings by pension fund institutions increased to 20.1 per cent from 12.8 per cent while proportion held by insurance companies decreased to 3.1 per cent from 6.5 per cent.
The medium term debt strategy for the financial year 2016/17 emphasized on the need to develop the domestic market by increasing the issuance of Treasury bonds over the medium term. The strategy targeted a mix of 60 percent and 40 per cent for external and domestic financing, respectively.